NBA Playoffs probabilities, projections: Celtics, Pacers, Timberwolves or Mavericks
We are down to the final four teams in the 2024 NBA Playoffs.
In the Eastern Conference Finals, the No. 6 Indiana Pacers face the No. 1 Boston Celtics.
In the Western Conference Finals, the No. 5 Dallas Mavericks take on the No. 3 Minnesota Timberwolves.
Which teams will advance to the NBA Finals? Which team will win the 2024 NBA championship?
Take a look at win probabilities for the Eastern Conference Finals, Western Conference Finals and 2024 NBA Finals from four different sites that project NBA results.
The Celtics are a huge favorite overall for the NBA title, while the Pacers are mainly considered the biggest underdog, but there is some difference in the numbers for whether the Mavericks or Timberwolves will be in the NBA Finals.
NBA Playoffs series picks: Pacers vs Celtics | Mavericks vs Timberwolves | NBA Playoffs bracket | NBA Championship odds
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Basketball Reference: Boston Celtics overwhelming NBA title favorite
The site gives Boston an 89.9% chance to defeat Indiana in the conference semifinals. It then gives the Celtics a 71.5% chance to win the NBA championship.
It gives Minnesota a 73.4% chance to top Dallas in the conference semifinals and a 21.6% shot at winning the NBA title.
Dallas is given a 26.6% shot at winning the West over the Timberwolves and a 3.5% chance to take home the NBA championship.
Indiana has just a 10.1% chance to win the East over the Celtics, according to the site, and a 3.4% shot at winning the NBA Finals.
NBA Playoffs game picks, predictions, odds: Pacers vs Celtics | Mavericks vs Timberwolves | Daily NBA game odds
Playoffstatus.com: Indiana Pacers a huge underdog in conference finals projections
The site gives the Pacers just a 12% chance to win the Eastern Conference Finals over Boston and just a 3% chance to win the NBA title.
The Mavericks are the second-biggest underdog, with just a 32% chance to win the Western Conference Finals over Minnesota and an 8% shot at winning the NBA championship.
The Timberwolves are the favorite in the West, with a 68% chance to make the NBA Finals, according to the site, and a 26% chance to win the finals.
The Celtics have an 88% chance to win the East, and a 63% shot to win the NBA Finals.
NBA Playoffs schedule: Pacers vs Celtics | Mavericks vs Timberwolves | Daily NBA game schedule
The Ringer: Minnesota Timberwolves favorites in Western Conference Finals
The site puts the TWolves at 77% in its win probability to win the Western Conference Finals, and at 27% to win the NBA title.
The Celtics are the favorite, at 88% to win the Eastern Conference Finals, and at 66% to win the NBA championship.
The Pacers are given a 12% chance to win the East and the Mavericks are given a 23% shot to win the West, with both teams only getting a 4% shot at winning the NBA Finals.
NBA Playoffs probabilities, projections: Celtics, Pacers, Timberwolves or Mavericks
ESPN: Dallas Mavericks favored to make NBA Finals
This site has the Mavericks with a 51.7% chance to make the NBA Finals over the Timberwolves, who are given a 48.3% chance to advance to the final NBA Playoffs series.
The Celtics are given a 76.2% chance to make the finals, with the Pacers at just 23.8% to make the NBA Finals, according to that site's win probabilities.
As for the NBA title, the Celtics are given a 50.2% chance to win it, with the Mavericks at 23.2%, the Timberwolves at 19.1% and the Pacers at 7.5%.
Reach Jeremy Cluff at jeremy.cluff@arizonarepublic.com. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter @Jeremy_Cluff.
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This article originally appeared on Arizona Republic: NBA Playoffs probabilities, projections: Who wins conference finals?