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Game recap: Colts fall to Texans in winner-take-all season finale

The Indianapolis Colts and Houston Texans meet in NFL Week 18 for a spot in the AFC playoffs.

The Colts (9-7) beat the Texans (9-7) in Week 2, but both teams have undergone changes. Coaches Shane Steichen of the Colts and Demeco Ryans of the Texans are NFL Coach of the Year candidates. Quarterback Gardner Minshew has led the Colts since Week 5, while Texans rookie C.J. Stroud is a potential NFL Rookie of the Year.

Joel A. Erickson, Nate Atkins and Gregg Doyel are your best Colts follows. We're going to have updates all evening, so please remember to refresh.

More: Colts CB JuJu Brents ruled out of Texans game with a hamstring injury

On the building: Colts unveil banner honoring CB Kenny Moore

Final: Texans 23, Colts 19

The Indianapolis Colts' season ends in crushing fashion.

Jonathan Taylor carries 30 times for 188 yards and a touchdown. The Colts rush for 227 yards.

Gardner Minshew completes 13-of-24 passes for 141 yards.

C.J. Stroud completes 20-of-26 passes for 264 yards and 2 touchdowns. Nico Collins has 9 catches for 195 yards and a TD. Devin Singletary rushes for 63 yards and a TD.

The Colts (9-8) will be in the middle of the pack in the 2024 NFL Draft.

The Texans yield a safety with 1 second left.

1:03 left 4Q: Colts fail on downs

Tyler Goodson drops the pass from Gardner Minshew and Houston takes over at its 15.

2:00 left 4Q: Colts are driving

The Colts have a 1st down at Houston's 24.

Colts convert a 3rd-down play for the first time tonight on Houston's 11th penalty, a Maliek Collins hands to the face.

Josh Downs takes a Gardner Minshew pass for 28 yards into Texans territory.

6:20 left 4Q: Texans score a touchdown for lead

Devin Singletary scores from 3 yards. C.J. Stroud goes 7-of-7 for 82 yards on the drive. Ka'imi Fairbairn misses a PAT for the first time this season. Texans 23, Colts 17

C.J. Stroud and Nico Collins connect on an unlikely 14-yard gain for a first down. Collins has 9 catches on 9 targets for 195 yards.

13:33 left 4Q: Colts tie score with Texans

Matt Gay makes a 35-yard field goal. Colts 17, Texans 17

End 3Q: Colts win a challenge

Coach Shane Steichen wins a challenge and Zack Moss is credited with a first down. Meanwhile, Colts tackle Braden Smith (knee) is out and running back Jonathan Taylor (heel) heads to the locker room.

3:39 left 3Q: Texans take the lead

Ka'imi Fairbairn connects on a 51-yard field goal. Fairbairn is 28-of-29 on field goals this season. Texans 17, Colts 14

5:37 left 3Q: Colts miss a field goal

Matt Gay's 57-yard try hits the right upright. Houston takes over its 47.

The Colts are over 200 rushing yards, and Jonathan Taylor has 168.

9:56 left 3Q: Jonathan Taylor scores a touchdown

Jonathan Taylor's season-long 49-yard run puts him at 145 for the game. The Mo Alie-Cox 2-point conversion ties the score. Colts 14, Texans 14

11:46 left 3Q: Colts get to C.J. Stroud

Houston punts, and the Colts start from their 13.

DeForest Buckner registers the first Colts sack tonight.

Houston's first play in the second half is a 22-yard completion to Nico Collins, putting C.J. Stroud over 4,000 passing yards for the season. Collins goes over 1,000 yards receiving.

Colts CB JuJu Brents (hamstring) heads to the locker room.

Halftime: Texans 14, Colts 6

The Colts have some work to do to earn a playoff berth.

Gardner Minshew is 6-of-15 for 45 yards and has been sacked once.

Jonathan Taylor has 81 rushing yards and 8 receiving.

After getting a field goal on their opening drive, the Colts punted on 4 straight drives. They get another field goal in the final minute of the half.

C.J. Stroud is 10-of-13 for 151 yards and 2 touchdowns, an almost-perfect 154.2 quarterback rating. The Colts haven't come close to sacking him.

Nico Collins has 5 catches for 129 yards and one of the scores. Devin Singletary has 42 rushing yards.

Houston has committed 7 penalties, most along the line of scrimmage.

The Texans receive the second-half kickoff.

:35 left 2Q: Colts cut into deficit

Matt Gay makes a 52-yard field goal. Texans 14, Colts 6

1:57 left 2Q: Texans add to their lead

Andrew Beck is wide open for the 1-yard touchdown. Texans 14, Colts 3

Nico Collins has a 32-yard reception to get to Indy's 8.

11:11 left 2Q: Defenses settle in

The Colts gain a first down but then stall. After Rigoberto Sanchez's 63-yard punt, Houston starts at its 30.

Houston punted to start the 2nd quarter, and pinned the Colts at their 1.

End 1Q: Texans face a decision

Houston has 4th-and-3 at the Colts 46.

C.J. Stroud has 4 completions, all to Nico Collins totaling 100 yards, including a 75-yard touchdown. Gardner Minshew has 3 completions, all to Michael Pittman Jr. totaling 21 yards. Jonathan Taylor has 50 rushing yards.

9:06 left 1Q: Texans score on their first play

Nico Collins beats JuJu Brents, and C.J. Stroud hits Collins in stride on Houston's first play of the game. That's the first first-play TD in the NFL this season. Texans 7, Colts 3

9:15 left 1Q: Colts get a field goal

Matt Gay kicks a 38-yard field goal. Jonathan Taylor rushes for 26 yards. Gardner Minshew hits Michael Pittman Jr. on 3 straight plays for 21 yards. Colts 3, Texans 0

Colts inactives

DT Adetomiwa Adebawore, C Jack Anderson, S Henry Black, CB Chris Lammons, RB Trey Sermon.

RB Zack Moss, C Ryan Kelly, T Braden Smith and CB Kenny Moore are active.

Texans inactives

WR Robert Woods, CB Kris Boyd, QB Case Keenum, DE Johnathan Greenard, G Nick Broeker, WR Noah Brown.

Woods (hip) had hoped to play, so the Texans are thin at WR. Greenard leads them in sacks.

Colts legendary receivers are ready

Colts receivers coach and Pro Football Hall of Fame finalist Reggie Wayne.

T.Y. Hilton, who usually excelled against the Texans.

Colts storylines vs. Texans

∎ Both teams rely on minimizing turnovers. Houston commits the fewest in the league (less than 1 per game) and is No. 4 in turnover margin. The Colts are 11th in turnover margin.

∎ The Texans are 10th in the NFL in total offense, gaining 344.6 yards per game. The Colts allow 352.6 yards (24th).

∎ Houston struggles on 4th-down plays, converting 40% (31st), though the Colts allow conversions on 68% of 4th-down plays (30th).

∎ Houston is strong defensively against the run (3.3 yards per carry, 2nd; 88.5 yards per game, 3rd) but allows opponents 68.2% completions (30th). The Colts complete 62.2% of their throws (26th).

∎ The Colts beat the Texans in Houston 31-20 in Week 2. The Colts ran to a 28-10 halftime lead sparked by two Anthony Richardson rushing touchdowns. He suffered an injury on the second TD run, and Minshew filled in, passing for a touchdown to Kylen Granson.

NFL Week 18 picks, predictions: Colts vs. Texans with AFC playoff berth on the line

AFC playoff standings

Seeds, records through Week 17, and Week 18 schedule

Seed, team (record)

Week 18 opponent, start time

1. Ravens (13-3)

vs. Steelers, 4:30 p.m. Sat.

2. Dolphins (11-5)

vs. Bills, 8:20 p.m. Sun.

3, Chiefs (10-6)

at Chargers, 4:25 p.m. Sun.

4, Jaguars (9-7)

at Titans, 1 p.m. Sun.

5, Browns (11-5)

at Bengals, 1 p.m. Sun.

6, Bills (10-6)

at Dolphins, 8:20 p.m. Sun.

7, Colts (9-7)

vs. Texans, 8:15 p.m. Sat.

8, Texans (9-7)

at Colts, 8:15 p.m. Sat.

9, Steelers (9-7)

at Ravens, 4:30 p.m. Sat.

Colts start time vs. Texans in NFL Week 18

8:15 p.m. ET Saturday, Jan. 6, 2024, at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis.

What channel is Colts vs. Texans on?

TV: ABC/ESPN, with Joe Buck (play-by-play), Troy Aikman (analysis) and Lisa Salters (sideline reporting)

Radio: 93.5, 97.1, 107.5 FM in Indianapolis, with Matt Taylor (play-by-play), Rick Venturi (analysis), Larra Overton (sideline reporting)

Streaming: SiriusXM Channels 225 and 813, ESPN+FuboParamount+SlingDishAmazonNFL+

Who is favored to win, Colts or Texans?

via BetMGM

Favorite: Texans by 1 point (Colts are 9-7 against the spread, but they failed to cover in beating the Raiders in Week 17; the Texans are 8-9 ATS)

Over/under: 47.5 total points (11 Colts games have gone over, 5 under. Last week's game against the Raiders went over on Las Vegas' last-minute touchdown; 6 Texans games have gone over and 11 under)

Moneyline: Texans -120, Colts +100

ESPN's matchup predictor gives the Colts a 51.6% chance of winning.

Colts news from IndyStar

‘Smelling blood in the water’: How Shane Steichen has led Colts to brink of playoffs

NFL Week 18 picks, predictions: Colts vs. Texans with AFC playoff berth on the line

Insider: How Colts tight end Will Mallory turned around his rookie season

Motley crew: Meet the improbable Colts defensive backs who survived the Raiders

This article originally appeared on Indianapolis Star: Colts vs. Texans score updates, highlights with AFC playoffs at stake