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Breaking down Tennessee's chances to win football title in 2024

Josh Heupel. Tennessee Volunteers versus Iowa Hawkeyes in the Cheez-It Citrus Bowl at Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Florida on Jan. 1, 2024. Photo by Dan Harralson, Vols Wire
Josh Heupel. Tennessee Volunteers versus Iowa Hawkeyes in the Cheez-It Citrus Bowl at Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Florida on Jan. 1, 2024. Photo by Dan Harralson, Vols Wire

No. 15 Tennessee will return to action on Aug. 31 to kick off the 2024 football season. Rankings reflect the preseason US LBM Coaches Poll.

The Vols will be behind redshirt freshman quarterback Nico Iamaleava. Iamaleava made his first start for the Vols in the Citrus Bowl against Iowa.

Ahead of Tennessee's season opener versus Chattanooga at Neyland Stadium, Vols Wire looks at ESPN's Football Power Index.

FPI released percentage chances for Tennessee's record projection, to win out, to win six games, to win the SEC, to make the College Football Playoff, to make the national championship game and to win the national title in 2024.

ESPN's FPI percentage chances for the Vols in 2024 are listed below.

Projected win-loss record

Josh Heupel. Photo by Dan Harralson, Vols Wire
Josh Heupel. Photo by Dan Harralson, Vols Wire

Record projection: 8.6-3.5

READ: 2024 preseason US LBM Coaches Poll

Win out percentage

Nico Iamaleava. Tennessee Volunteers football fall training camp ahead of the 2023 season at Haslam Field in Knoxville, Tennessee. Photo by Dan Harralson, Vols Wire
Nico Iamaleava. Tennessee Volunteers football fall training camp ahead of the 2023 season at Haslam Field in Knoxville, Tennessee. Photo by Dan Harralson, Vols Wire

To win out: 0.9 percent

PHOTOS: Tennessee starting quarterbacks through the years

To win six games

Photo by Dan Harralson, Vols Wire
Photo by Dan Harralson, Vols Wire

To win six games: 95.4 percent

Download Vols Wire 2024 Tennessee football schedule smartphone wallpaper

To win the SEC

Photo by Dan Harralson, Vols Wire
Photo by Dan Harralson, Vols Wire

To win the conference: 5.5 percent

READ: Tennessee’s projected 2024 offensive starting lineup

To make the College Football Playoff

Photo by Dan Harralson, Vols Wire
Photo by Dan Harralson, Vols Wire

To make the 12-team CFP: 36.9 percent

READ: Tennessee’s projected 2024 defensive starting lineup

To make the national championship game

Photo by Dan Harralson, Vols Wire
Photo by Dan Harralson, Vols Wire

To make the CFP national title game: 6.0 percent

READ: Tennessee's projected stats in 2024

To win national championship

Photo by Dan Harralson, Vols Wire
Photo by Dan Harralson, Vols Wire

To win CFP national title: 2.7 percent

This article originally appeared on Vols Wire: Breaking down Tennessee's chances to win football title in 2024