Who are the favourites to win at the 2024 Baftas?

From Oppenheimer to Anatomy of a Fall, there's a few films that stand out from the crowd this awards season.

The Baftas is happening on Sunday, and frontrunners at the award ceremony include Oppenheimer and Anatomy of a Fall.
The Baftas is happening on Sunday, and frontrunners at the award ceremony include Oppenheimer and Anatomy of a Fall. (Universal/Lionsgate/20th Century Studios)

The Baftas are almost upon us, with the prestigious British awards ceremony taking place this weekend to celebrate the great work that has been released over the past year.

Awards season is always fun to try and predict, with some films and actors often becoming frontrunners early on in the race. The Baftas is a good indicator of how things will pan out at the Oscars later this year, but who exactly is the favourite to win? Let's dive into it.

Who is the favourite to win the Bafta for Best Actor?

Cillian Murphy is J. Robert Oppenheimer in OPPENHEIMER, written, produced, and directed by Christopher Nolan. (Universal)
Cillian Murphy has won previously for his portrayal of J. Robert Oppenheimer in Oppenheimer. (Universal)

The competition is fierce for this year's Best Actor award, with Cillian Murphy, Paul Giamatti, Bradley Cooper, Barry Keoghan, Colman Domingo and Teo Yoo vying for the prize. They are nominated for Oppenheimer, The Holdovers, Maestro, Saltburn, Rustin and Past Lives, respectively.

Read more: How to watch the 2024 Baftas

Given their recent wins at awards ceremonies like the Golden Globes, it is expected that Murphy is most likely to win — and betting company OLBG has given the actor 1/6 odds of winning. The next closest person to win is Giamatti, who also won at the Golden Globes in the comedy category and has been given a 4/1 chance of winning.

Who is the favourite to win the Bafta for Best Actress?

Emma Stone and Mark Ruffalo in POOR THINGS. Photo by Atsushi Nishijima. Courtesy of Searchlight Pictures. © 2023 20th Century Studios All Rights Reserved.
Emma Stone is likely to win the award for Best Actress for her performance in Poor Things. (20th Century Studios)

The nominations for Best Actress at the Baftas looks slightly different to the Oscars, with homegrown talent being given more support. For example, Oscars frontrunner Lily Gladstone has not been nominated for a Bafta for her performance in Killers of the Flower Moon.

Emma Stone, Sandra Huller, Carey Mulligan, Margot Robbie, Vivian Oparah and Fantasia Barrino have been shortlisted for the award for their performances in Poor Things, Anatomy of a Fall, Maestro, Barbie, Rye Lane and The Color Purple. Of these actors it is Stone who is the favourite to win, and she has been given 1/4 odds of winning by OLBG.

Who is the favourite to win the Bafta for Best Director?

L to R: Emily Blunt (as Kitty Oppenheimer) with writer, director, and producer Christopher Nolan and Cillian Murphy (as J. Robert Oppenheimer) on the set of OPPENHEIMER. (Universal)
Christopher Nolan seen on the set of Oppenheimer, his work on the film could earn him the prize for Best Director. (Universal)

The nominees for Best Director are Andrew Haigh, Justine Triet, Christopher Nolan, Alexander Payne, Bradley Cooper and Jonathan Glazer for their work on All of Us Strangers, Anatomy of a Fall, Oppenheimer, The Holdovers, Maestro and The Zone of Interest. While there are no betting odds for this category we can look towards who awards season has favoured in recent months to explore who might win.

There's several interesting nominees within this category, with Nolan being the director with the most wins under his belt for Oppenheimer in the lead up to the Baftas. This makes him the frontrunner, however Justine Triet received the Palme d'Or at Cannes for her film which also gives her an edge in the race.

Which movie is the favourite to win the Bafta for Best Film?

Sandra Hüller takes the lead role in Anatomy of a Fall. (Lionsgate)
Sandra Hüller takes the lead role in Anatomy of a Fall, which is a frontrunner for Best Film alongside Oppenheimer. (Lionsgate)

The Baftas has two film categories, one for Best Film and another for Outstanding British Film, and we will focus on the former in this case. The nominees for the award include Anatomy of a Fall, The Holdovers, Killers of the Flower Moon, Oppenheimer and Poor Things.

Looking at other awards ceremonies it can be surmised that the frontrunners for the prize are Oppenheimer, Anatomy of a Fall and Poor Things which have all been named Best Film at one event or another. The one to have the most wins is Oppenheimer, making it a strong contender to win at the Baftas.


The 2024 Bafta Film Awards will take place on Sunday, 18 February from 7pm on BBC and BBC iPlayer.