Inflation and the US election: What they mean for the US dollar

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The US dollar (DX-Y.NYB) is digesting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's latest comments on inflation at the European Central Bank's (ECB) Forum on Central Banking, as well as the rise in job openings from May.

TD Bank Global Head of FX and EM Strategy Mark McCormick sits down with Madison Mills on Catalysts to talk about the Fed's data-centric approach to its interest rate policies going forward.

"And inflation from month to month is going to be very challenging and very volatile indicator. So the way that we keep looking at it is there's no room for error," McCormick tells Yahoo Finance. "So next week's inflation number, if it comes in hot this whole narrative is gone. If it comes in as expected, then we get another inflation print where it's like 'yes, they can still probably go in September.' But again, if it comes in hot, it's like everything is binary now. So the market, it lacks confidence, it lacks motivation in terms of how to trade these themes.

McCormick also weighs in on the ways a second Trump presidency or policies like heightened tariffs could impact the US dollar. In the broader FX (foreign exchange) market, McCormick also comments on the influence France's snap election is having on the euro.

For more expert insight and the latest market action, click here to watch this full episode of Catalysts.

This post was written by Luke Carberry Mogan.

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