NBA Playoff Picture: Everything at stake on the season's final day
The NBA’s regular season ends on Wednesday, which means that there’s only one day left to set the final standings and determine the shape of the playoff bracket. Fourteen of 16 playoff berths and six of eight first-round series have already been determined, but there are still plenty of seeds left to sort out.
EASTERN CONFERENCE
The following seeds have already been set:
3. Toronto Raptors
4. Washington Wizards
5. Atlanta Hawks
6. Milwaukee Bucks
That leaves four spots to be decided, including the final two playoff berths in the conference. But we’ll start at the top, where the Boston Celtics and Cleveland Cavaliers must sort out which team gets home-court advantage through the conference finals.
Boston Celtics
No. 1 if they beat the Bucks OR the Cavaliers lose to the Raptors
No. 2 if they lose to the Bucks and the Cavaliers beat the Raptors
Cleveland Cavaliers
No. 1 if they beat the Raptors and the Celtics lose to the Bucks
No. 2 if they lose to the Raptors OR the Celtics beat the Bucks
Useful notes: It is probably in the Raptors’ best interest to rest players to better the Cavs’ chances of nabbing the No. 1 seed. Toronto can avoid playing the defending champions until the conference finals if they finish first. Or maybe it won’t matter — the Bucks will not play several rotation players, including Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton, in Boston:
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— Chris Forsberg (@ESPNForsberg) April 11, 2017
Three teams are vying for two spots for the most complicated scenarios of the season’s final day. If the Miami Heat nab one of these berths, they’ll have completed a stunning turnaround following an 11-30 start.
Indiana Pacers
No. 7 if they beat the Hawks OR the Bulls lose to the Brooklyn Nets and the Heat lose to the Wizards
No. 8 if they lose to the Hawks, the Bulls lose to the Nets, and the Heat beat the Wizards OR they lose to the Hawks, the Bulls beat the Nets, and the Heat lose to the Wizards
Eliminated if they lose to the Hawks, the Bulls beat the Nets, and the Heat beat the Wizards
Chicago Bulls
No. 7 if they beat the Nets and the Pacers lose to the Hawks
No. 8 if they beat the Nets and the Pacers beat the Hawks OR they lose to the Nets and the Heat lose to the Wizards
Eliminated if they lose to the Nets, the Pacers beat the Hawks, and the Heat beat the Wizards
Miami Heat
No. 7 if they beat the Wizards, the Pacers lose to the Hawks, and the Bulls lose to the Nets
No. 8 if they beat the Wizards, the Pacers lose to the Hawks, and the Bulls beat the Nets OR they beat the Wizards, the Pacers beat the Hawks, and the Bulls lose to the Nets
Eliminated if they lose to the Wizards OR the Pacers beat the Hawks and the Bulls beat the Nets
Useful notes: The Nets have the NBA’s worst record but already played spoiler to the Bulls in a surprising win on Saturday. However, Brooklyn will sit six rotation players on Wednesday — Brook Lopez, Trevor Booker, and Jeremy Lin will rest, and Quincy Acy, Joe Harris, and Sean Kilpatrick will all miss the game due to injury. Those absences should clear the way for the Bulls to clinch a playoff berth.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
All four first-round matchups have already been determined in the West. The only matter still to be resolved is which team gets home-court advantage in the series between the No. 4 and No. 5 seeds.
The following seeds have already been set:
1. Golden State Warriors
2. San Antonio Spurs
3. Houston Rockets
6. Oklahoma City Thunder
7. Memphis Grizzlies
8. Portland Trail Blazers
And the Clippers and Jazz still need to figure out where they’ll play four of their seven games.
Los Angeles Clippers
No. 4 if they beat the Sacramento Kings OR the Jazz lose to the Spurs
No. 5 if they lose to the Kings and the Jazz beat the Spurs
Utah Jazz
No. 4 if they beat the Spurs and the Clippers lose to the Kings
No. 5 if they lose to the Spurs OR the Clippers beat the Kings
Useful notes: The Clippers obviously have the more favorable matchup, but Gregg Popovich played his key players for roughly 20 minutes apiece on Monday against the Blazers and probably won’t push anyone too hard. There’s an argument to be made that the Kings are a more difficult opponent, given that they have nothing to play for and could relish the role of spoiler.
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Eric Freeman is a writer for Ball Don’t Lie on Yahoo Sports. Have a tip? Email him at efreeman_ysports@yahoo.com or follow him on Twitter!