NBA betting: The Suns are going to scorch Vegas if they win the championship
Even Galileo would be shocked at how many bet slips are revolving around the Suns as we begin the NBA playoffs. Nearly 30% of all money wagered on championship futures is on Phoenix, who's also seeing 55.2% of the Western Conference champs handle on BetMGM. If they rise from the ashes of last year's Finals defeat to avenge themselves with a title, the sportsbooks are going to get burned by everyone who jumped onboard the Suns bandwagon.
The cream of the NBA
After Phoenix started this season 1-3, people began to question whether last year's success was a fluke. Eighteen consecutive victories quickly laid those queries to rest. Phoenix finished with the best record in the NBA, a dominating 64-18. The eight-game buffer between them and the team with the second-best record, the Memphis Grizzlies, is the largest since the 1999-00 Los Angeles Lakers ended the season 11 games better than the Indiana Pacers. The Lakers went on to win the NBA title.
Phoenix is +260 to win it all, and there's a lot for bettors to like about them. They have the savviest point guard in the league in Chris Paul, the NBA's top assist man, a supernova scorer in Devin Booker, a legit big man in Deandre Ayton, a productive bench, and a lock for this year's coach of the year in Monty Williams. They're terrifying on both ends of the court and they led the NBA in shooting percentage (48.5%) — something that five of the last nine teams to win a championship have done.
More than a third of all Western Conference champ tickets are on Phoenix, who are currently +105 after opening at +700. Memphis entered the season as a 50-to-1 long shot to make the Finals, and are the second-most popular bet (21.4% of tickets) to win the West at +600. The Nuggets (+1100) and Warriors (+500) round out the top four at 12.5% and 8.6%, respectively.
While it feels like there are only three teams who could represent the West, there are at least five who could come out of the East without raising eyebrows. Philadelphia (+550) is the most popular bet with 18.9% of tickets, followed by the Celtics (+450) at 15.6%, Miami (+450) at 13.7%, and the Bucks (+240) at 13.2%. A Boston appearance in the Finals is BetMGM's largest liability in the East, but it wouldn't hurt them nearly as badly as a Suns repeat in the West would.
Brooklyn (+320) has the sixth-most support to win the East at 7.1%, but they'll first have to play their way out of the play-in tournament. The Nets are an 8.5-point favorite over the Cavs on Tuesday night.
Stats provided by Basketball Reference, teamrankings.com and nba.com.