Indiana State is on NCAA tournament bubble on Selection Sunday. Are Sycamores in or out?
With each upset in a power conference tournament, Indiana State basketball gets more nervous.
Craziness in the American and Atlantic 10 tournaments. Texas A&M beating Kentucky in the SEC tournament. Providence beating Creighton in the Big East tournament. N.C. State winning five days in a row to take the ACC tournament championship.
All of those results threaten to pop the Sycamores' NCAA tournament bubble. Therefore, ISU enters Selection Sunday in a precarious position, awaiting the committee's decision.
ISU (27-6) hopes to make the 68-team field as an at-large team, a rarity for the Missouri Valley Conference. The Sycamores lost the MVC tournament championship game to Drake. Indiana State last made March Madness in 2011 as a No. 14 seed.
CBS' Seth Davis asked committee chair Dan Gavitt about teams such as Indiana State (actually, Davis acknowledged he was asking about ISU) on Saturday.
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Gavitt didn't offer much insight, as you might expect, but he acknowledged metrics such as the NET rankings play a significant role, as does the eye test.
"The committee's task with the at larges, all 36 of them, is to select the best 36 teams. They use all sorts of ways to evaluate teams to determine who are the 36 best. The process has become more metrics-driven over the years."
—Dan Gavitt pic.twitter.com/HVpDW82gSD— CBS Sports College Basketball 🏀 (@CBSSportsCBB) March 16, 2024
Indiana State has a NET ranking of 29th on Sunday, up one place from the previous day. The highest-ranked team in the NET to be left out of the tournament was No. 33 N.C. State in 2019.
Why Indiana State should make the NCAA Tournament
∎ 27 wins, more than all but 11 teams.
∎ The Sycamores didn't just stack up home wins: 9-4 on the road, 6-1 on neutral courts.
Why Indiana State won't make the NCAA Tournament
∎ Strength of schedule: 101st of 362 teams nationally, according to teamrankings.com. They played two games against power conference teams, losing to Alabama and Michigan State.
∎ A quad-4 loss at home, 80-67 to Illinois State.
Indiana State bracket projections
Here's where various bracketologists have the Sycamores as of Sunday morning.
Joe Lunardi, ESPN: First four out
Happy Saint Bracket's Day. pic.twitter.com/MZrx8yvWB8
— Joe Lunardi (@ESPNLunardi) March 17, 2024
Jerry Palm, CBS: First four out
Patrick Stevens, Washington Post: Moving out
Mike DeCourcy, Fox Sports: First four out
USA TODAY: First four out
Kevin Sweeney, Sports Illustrated: Next four out
I’ll be surprised, though not shocked, if the Sycamores get in.
This article originally appeared on Indianapolis Star: Indiana State March Madness bracket predictions for NCAA tournament