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A look at the federal funds rate over the past 50 years: How has it changed?

Rates may seem high now, but the Fed’s effective rate reached a whopping 19% at one point.

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You may not think much about the federal funds rate day to day, but this key number impacts many areas of your financial life and the economy as a whole.

The Federal Reserve — the country’s central bank — periodically adjusts its target rate to keep the economy running smoothly and consumer prices in check. When the federal funds rate moves up or down, so do the interest rates on bank accounts and loans. In other words, changes in the Fed’s rate impact how much your savings can grow and how much you pay to borrow money.

Read more: Consumers catch a break as inflation continues to cool

So how does today’s federal funds rate compare to past years? Here’s a look at historical Fed interest rates so you can better understand how your bottom line is affected.

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The federal funds rate is set by the Federal Reserve and dictates what a bank can charge another bank for ultra-short-term loans (usually overnight) in order to meet reserve requirements. It's expressed as a range, and financial institutions can negotiate a specific rate between each other within that range.

The Fed’s target rate also impacts the interest rates individual financial institutions set for financial products such as deposit accounts, bonds, loans, and credit cards.

Recently, the Fed lowered its target range by 50 basis points to 4.75%-5.00%; the Fed is expected to implement additional rate cuts in 2024.

Prior to the recent cut, the Fed had not adjusted the federal funds rate since July 2023. But this rate has fluctuated quite a bit in the past few decades in response to major economic and world events.

Here’s a look at the effective federal funds rate since 1974, along with 3-month CD rates and 10-year government bond yields, so you can see how the Fed’s rate impacts other interest rates.

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

The federal funds rate soared in the early 1980s when inflation hit more than 13%, the highest level recorded. This marked the end of a macroeconomic period known as the “Great Inflation,” which economists believe was brought on by Federal Reserve policies that led to an overgrowth in the supply of money.

In response, the Fed raised interest rates, and the federal funds rate reached more than 19%.

In the late 1990s and into the early 2000s, there was another major economic shift when the Fed began bringing the federal funds rate down. This move was fueled by the dot-com bubble burst — a period of economic instability when investors poured capital into internet-based companies, which led to an overvaluation of many of these start-ups. Unfortunately, not all of these companies were profitable, and the fallout of this bubble burst led to many bankruptcies and a recession.

Then, following the terrorist attacks of Sept. 11, 2001, the Fed cut rates further due to widespread uncertainty and a slowdown in economic activity.

In 2007, the housing market crash prompted the Fed to once again lower its target rate to 2%. A series of rate cuts followed, eventually bringing the target range down to a range of 0%-0.25% — effectively zero — by December 2008.

As the economy recovered from the Great Recession, the Fed began slowly increasing rates again. But in 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic rocked the U.S. economy and brought about challenges such as supply-chain issues, reduced economic activity, and high unemployment. In March 2020, the Fed once again slashed rates to a range of 0%-0.25%.

Read more: How to recession-proof your savings

Begining in March 2022, the Fed increased its rate by 0.25 basis point increments to combat skyrocketing inflation, with a total of 11 hikes through July 2023.

However, as the inflation rate slowed and neared the Fed’s desired 2% target in September 2024, it decided it was time to begin cutting .

The Fed’s next meeting is slated for the begining of November when the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will decide whether or not to further adjust the federal funds rate. In its last meeting, the Fed announced that it would cut its target range to 4.75%-5.00%.

Fed officials have also indicated they plan to cut the federal funds rate by an additional percentage point in 2024, as well as implement four more rate cuts in 2025 and two in 2026.

Read more: Should you open a savings account or CD before the Fed’s next meeting?