Union Pacific Issues Bullish Views on Operating Ratio & Revenue Growth

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Union Pacific Corporation UNP issued a regulatory filing ahead of its investor day event on Sept. 19. In the filing, management stated that the company expects its revenues (excluding those from fuel surcharge) to grow faster than volumes (excluding coal) in the next three years, outpacing the markets served by the railroad operator. UNP expects to maintain an industry-leading operating ratio (operating expenses as a % of revenues) in the next three years with the help of high revenues. We should note that a lower value for the metric is favored.

UNP expects an earnings per share compound annual growth rate (EPS CAGR) in the high single-low double-digit band. Capital expenditure (on an annual basis) is expected to be in the $3.5-$3.7 billion range in the next three years. The company, apart from maintaining a strong investment-grade credit rating, expects to maintain an industry-leading return on invested capital.

Displaying its shareholder-friendly attitude, UNP expects to repurchase shares worth $4-$5 billion annually in three years (2025 onward). UNP anticipates increasing annual dividend payments consistent with a dividend payout ratio target of 45% of earnings.

Price Performance of UNP

UNP’s shares have risen 17.5% in a year, outperforming its industry’s 14.7% growth in the same timeframe.

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The bullish outlook issued by the company is a further positive.

Union Pacific’s Zacks Rank

UNP currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).

Stocks to Consider

Some better-ranked stocks for investors’ consideration in the Zacks Transportation sector include C.H. Robinson Worldwide CHRW and Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies WAB.

C.H. Robinson Worldwide currently sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

CHRW has an expected earnings growth rate of 25.2% for the current year. The company has an impressive earnings surprise history. Its earnings outpaced the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the trailing four quarters and missed once, delivering an average surprise of 7.3%. Shares of CHRW have risen 18.3% in the past year.

WAB, too, flaunts a Zacks Rank #1 at present andhas an expected earnings growth rate of 26% for the current year. The company has an encouraging track record with respect to the earnings surprise, having surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the trailing four quarters (missing the mark once). The average beat is 11.8%. Shares of WAB have climbed 66.4% in the past year.

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Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) : Free Stock Analysis Report

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