Eli Lilly (LLY): Revenue Boost from Zepbound and Mounjaro Amid Strong Market Projections
We recently published a list of 10 Best Medical Stocks to Buy Now. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY) stands against other best medical stocks to buy now.
Navigating the Healthcare Landscape: Investment Opportunities and Growth Trends
The medical and healthcare industry is one of the largest globally, with a steady demand for products and services due to the biological nature of humans. Stocks like Pfizer Inc. (NYSE:PFE) and Tenet Healthcare Corporation (NYSE:THC) are among the biggest in the world, benefiting from trends that arise during crises like the coronavirus pandemic. Following the pandemic’s rapid spread in 2020, investors were eager to identify the best medical stocks to navigate the global healthcare crisis.
This industry is highly capital-intensive and competitive, encompassing various subsectors, including pharmaceutical companies, healthcare plan providers, medical equipment manufacturers, and hospitals. While healthcare plan providers and pharmaceutical firms often capture consumer attention, hospitals tend to be overlooked, despite their status as publicly traded entities. According to McKinsey, the medical industry’s overall profits are projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4%, increasing from $654 billion in 2021 to $790 billion by 2026. Notably, the hospital sector is expected to grow at a remarkable CAGR of 12.5%, reaching $2 trillion by 2028. Similarly, the pharmaceutical manufacturing segment, valued at $358 billion in 2020, is forecasted to surge to $1.2 trillion by 2030, reflecting a CAGR of 13%.
Over time, medical companies such as Pfizer and Moderna, Inc. (NASDAQ:MRNA), a biotechnology company based in Cambridge, Massachusetts, were among the most sought-after due to their vaccines. On the stock market, Moderna’s shares increased by an astounding 429% between December 2019 and September 2021. This outcome demonstrates that even modest wagers placed at the ideal moment can provide investors from all backgrounds with large returns. During the same period, Pfizer’s stock saw a more moderate 50% gain; nevertheless, the gap in gains is comprehensible given that Pfizer currently has a market value of more than four times that of Moderna, at $155 billion.
Our Methodology
For our methodology, we first sifted through the US pharmaceutical, medical devices, and healthcare ETFs and selected stocks that were weighted the highest. After choosing these stocks, we ranked them based on their total number of hedge fund holders as of Q2 2024.
“Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).”
An array of pharmaceutical pills with the company's logo on the bottle.
Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 100
Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY) is a global pharmaceutical giant that develops, manufactures, and sells a wide range of medications. At its core, Eli Lilly focuses on creating innovative drugs to treat various medical conditions, including diabetes, cancer, autoimmune disorders, and neurological diseases.
Zepbound and Mounjaro, two medications from Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY), have been approved to treat obesity and type 2 diabetes, respectively, and are anticipated to bolster the company’s present revenue base. Tirzepatide is the same active ingredient in both therapies. Zepbound brought in $1.2 billion and Mounjaro about $3.1 billion respectively in the second quarter. By 2029, analysts project a $50 billion increase in medicine sales.
In Q2 2024, out of the total number of hedge funds tracked by Insider Monkey, 100 hedge funds held stakes in the stock with Fisher Asset Management being the largest one of these with 4,888,710 worth $4,426,141,743.
Here is what Baron Funds, an investment management company, said about Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY) in its second-quarter 2024 investor letter.
“Shares of global pharmaceutical company Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY) increased on continued investor enthusiasm around GLP-1 drugs for diabetes and obesity. We remain shareholders. Lilly’s Mounjaro/Zepbound not only offers superb blood sugar control for diabetics but can drive 20%-plus weight loss and likely improve cardiovascular outcomes in both diabetic and non-diabetic obese patients. Lilly is developing next-generation drugs, including retatrutide, which drives approximately 25% weight loss, and orforglipron, a daily pill that produces approximately 15% weight loss. In the U.S. alone, there are 32 million Type 2 diabetics and an additional 105 million obese patients who we estimate would qualify for GLP-1 drugs. Although supply and access are limited near term, we think GLP-1 drugs will become the standard of care for both diabetes and obesity and will become a $150 billion-plus category. We see Lilly setting a high efficacy bar and capturing significant long-term market share. We think the adoption of GLP-1s will drive Lilly to triple total revenue by 2030.”
Overall, LLY ranks 3rd on our list of best medical stocks to buy now. While we acknowledge the potential of medical companies, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than LLY but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
READ NEXT: $30 Trillion Opportunity: 15 Best Humanoid Robot Stocks to Buy According to Morgan Stanley and Jim Cramer Says NVIDIA ‘Has Become A Wasteland’.
Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.