What Does Krispy Kreme, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DNUT) Share Price Indicate?

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Krispy Kreme, Inc. (NASDAQ:DNUT), is not the largest company out there, but it led the NASDAQGS gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. The recent rally in share prices has nudged the company in the right direction, though it still falls short of its yearly peak. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s examine Krispy Kreme’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

Check out our latest analysis for Krispy Kreme

What's The Opportunity In Krispy Kreme?

According to our valuation model, the stock is currently overvalued by about 38%, trading at US$11.64 compared to our intrinsic value of $8.44. This means that the buying opportunity has probably disappeared for now. But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Krispy Kreme’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

Can we expect growth from Krispy Kreme?

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Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. In the upcoming year, Krispy Kreme's earnings are expected to increase by 87%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in DNUT’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe DNUT should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on DNUT for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for DNUT, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you want to dive deeper into Krispy Kreme, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with Krispy Kreme, and understanding it should be part of your investment process.

If you are no longer interested in Krispy Kreme, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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