US stocks retreated on Tuesday as investors digested a recent bond-market selloff and braced for the next wave of earnings reports.
The S&P 500 (^GSPC) dropped more than 0.5%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) dropped more than 120 points, or around 0.3%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) slid roughly 0.6%.
Stocks are coming under pressure amid growing doubts that the Federal Reserve will continue to cut rates aggressively — or even hold steady in November. Strength in the economy, cautious Fedspeak, and concerns about the fiscal impact of an election win by Republican nominee Donald Trump are factors in play.
Amid the uncertainty, the 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) steadied around 4.2% after Monday's sharp gains helped push it above that level for first time since July. The bond selling has weighed on rate-sensitive stocks such as real estate, with rising yields typically a catalyst for stock drawdowns.
On the earnings front, General Motors (GM) raised its guidance for the third time this year as upbeat EV sales helped deliver a quarterly profit and revenue beat. GM shares were up more than 5%. Elsewhere in earnings, GE Aerospace (GE) fell over 7% and Verizon shares fell around 5% on mixed third quarter reports.
Despite higher yields, gold (GC=F) prices rose, on track to reclaim Monday's record high. The gains came as investors sought safety with the US presidential election looming and Middle East tensions still on the rise.
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Markets are debating a higher for longer interest rate stance from the Fed
The data have pushed the 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) up nearly 50 basis points in the past month to hover near 4.2%, its highest level since July. As our graph below shows, the debate among investors appears to be more about how quickly the Fed will reduce interest rates over the next year, not about whether the central bank will once again cut in November.
As of Tuesday, morning markets are still pricing in a roughly 88% chance the Fed cuts rates at its November meeting, per the CME FedWatch Tool. But by the end of next year, markets now see the Fed likely making one less cut than was priced in on October 4 and two less cuts than markets were projecting on Sep. 18, the day the Fed slashed rates by half a percentage point.
Josh Schafer
General Motors raises profit forecast, shares soar
General Motors (GM) stock rose more than 7% on Tuesday morning as the automaker boosted its profitability guidance for a third time this year.
Yahoo Finance's Pras Subramanian reports:
For the quarter, GM reported revenue of $48.78 billion, easily topping estimates of $44.69 billion per Bloomberg consensus, and higher than the prior quarter's nearly $48 billion. GM's Q3 revenue was also 10.5% higher than a year ago.
The company booked adjusted EPS (earnings per share) of $2.96, far outstripping expectations of $2.44. It reported EBIT-adjusted profit of $4.115 billion, up 15.5% from a year ago, with EBIT-adjusted margin climbing to 8.4% from 8.1% year over year.
US stocks retreated on Tuesday as investors digested a recent bond-market selloff and braced for the next wave of earnings reports.
The S&P 500 (^GSPC) dropped more than 0.5%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) dropped more than 120 points, or 0.3%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) slid roughly 0.6%.
Laura Bratton
A host of companies reported third quarter earnings Tuesday morning.
The biggest premarket stock movers were GE Aerospace (GE), Verizon (VZ), 3M (MMM) and Philip Morris (PM). GE Aerospace fell over 5% and Verizon shares fell around 3% on mixed third quarter reports. Paint company Sherwin Williams (SHW) fell 4% after an earnings miss. Lockheed Martin (LMT) and Moody’s (MCO) fell less than 1% despite strong results.
Meanwhile, Philip Morris jumped 3% after raising its guidance thanks to higher cigarette prices as well as its surging smoke-free business. General Motors (GM) rose 1.4% and tech and manufacturing conglomerate 3M jumped 6% after earnings beats.
Here’s more detail about the companies’ performance (expectations according to Bloomberg consensus estimates):
GE Aerospace: Adjusted earnings per share of $1.15 vs. $1.13 expected and revenue totaling $8.9 billion vs. the $9 billion expected,
Philip Morris: Adjusted EPS of $1.91 vs. $1.81 expected, net revenue of $9.9 billion vs. $9.7 billion expected
Verizon: Adjusted EPS of $6.84 vs. $6.44 expected, revenue of $17.1 billion vs. $17.4 billion expected
Moody’s: Adjusted EPS of $3.21 vs. $2.88 expected, revenue of $1.8 billion vs. $1.7 billion expected
Lockheed Martin: Adjusted EPS of $6.84 vs. $6.44 expected, revenue of $17.1 billion vs. $17.4 billion expected
Sherwin Williams: Adjusted EPS of $3.37 vs. $3.53 expected, revenue of $6.16 billion vs. $6.21 billion expected
3M: Adjusted EPS of $1.98 vs. $1.91 expected, revenue of $6.07 billion vs. $6.06 billion expected
General Motors: Adjusted EPS of $2.96 vs. $2.45 expected, revenue of $48.8 billion vs. $44.69 expected
Jenny McCall
Good morning. Here's what's happening today.
Economic data: Philadelphia Fed Non-Manufacturing Index (October); Richmond Fed Manufacturing & Business Conditions Index (October)
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